Coincident Probabilistic climate change weather data for a “Sustainable built Environment”

Case

Funding body: EPSRC (2008-2011)
Principal Investigator (at Kent): Prof Marialena Nikolopoulou
Partners: 3D Reid, Aedas Architects Ltd, Bristol City Council, Buro Happold, Derrick Braham Associates Ltd, DesignBuilder Software Ltd, Environmental Design Solutions, Faber Maunsell Ltd, Fielden Clegg Bradley, Hoare LEA, Hopkins Architects, Integrated Environmental Solutions Ltd, King Shaw Associates

Summary

This project will develop sound methods for future climate change data for building designers to use for new buildings and refurbishments that could last to the end of this century. The principal application output will be a draft Technical Memorandum (TM) for the Chartered Institution of Building Services Engineers, CIBSE, suitable for practising designers. This will be supported by extensive case studies to validate the new weather data design methodology and be used in research tasks described later. ‘Story lines’ relevant to different scenarios for the climate and built environment will be developed as well as risk levels in building design to enable designers to use the weather data with confidence.

The TM will provide CIBSE with a consistent methodology for the selection and use of future data for its new Design Guide, a fundamental document used by designers of buildings and their services and a supporting document for the Government’s Building Regulations. The basis for this project will be the UK Climate Impacts Programme (UKCIP) future scenarios to be published in 2008 (UKCIP08) from which may be derived probabilities of different weather outcomes over this century.