EvacuateIstanbul: Evacuation Planning and Management for Istanbul City Marmara Sea Shores Against Tsunami Threat

Funded by TUBITAK

The EvacuateIstanbul project focuses on evacuation planning and management for Istanbul City Marmara Sea Shores against Tsunami threat. The project is about optimization of the activities that need to be carried out and the decisions to be made for a safe evacuation planning and management of Marmara Sea districts against the possible threat of a tsunami as a secondary disaster after the impending Istanbul earthquake.

Decisions to optimize will include vertical shelter location and capacity selection, design of new roads, bridges/overpasses, capacity enhancement of existing roads, evacuation or shelter-in-place/refuge, dynamic resource allocation to critical intersections and routing. Since it is not possible to decisively predict the exact location, time, and impact of the earthquake and whether the tsunami will be a seismic or underwater-landslide-based one, there exist uncertainty in evacuation demand, road network capacity and time-dependent risk levels. Models and solution methodologies proposed will take into consideration this uncertainty and the human behavior.

The project will take 36 months and will consist of 4 work packages under the management of the principal investigator, Dr Vedat Bayram, from the CeLSa. The project is funded by The Scientific and Technological Research Council of Turkey (TUBITAK) and is owned by TED University and is being conducted in collaboration with Istanbul Metropolitan Municipality.

 

Back to Projects and Impact